avinasharora Author Archives

AvinashArora

Avinash Arora is a graduate from Chandigarh University. His current research is focused on south Asian security issues. His research explores the interlinkages between strategic partnerships and security.

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Mumbai Municipal Budget: Warning Bells

The municipal budget provides an amount of ₹ 431.62 billion for capital expenditure or 58 percent of the total budget. This essentially goes for building new assets in the city. On the other hand, revenue expenditure comprises salaries, pensions and other institutional costs. Website URL: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/mumbai-municipal-budget-warning-bells

New Impossibilities in an Impossible World

In this impossible world, lie new impossibilities. Free trade agreements between the EU, China and India will create, a combined market size of more than $40 trillion. Add Japan, Australia and ASEAN countries, and it rises to US$50 trillion. Website URL: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/new-impossibilities-in-an-impossible-world

Securing our Digital Future: The Case for a Secure and Aligned AI initiative Within IMEC

The Secure and Aligned AI Initiative (SAAII) as a proposition for IMEC is not merely another technical project—it is a bold vision to reclaim technological sovereignty in an era where non-democratic digital systems are rapidly expanding. SAAII is designed to counter the growing influence of authoritarian technologies and ensure that AI infrastructure serves democratic values. Website URL: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/securing-our-digital-future-the-case-for-a-secure-and-aligned-ai-initiative-within-imec

India-Bangladesh Relations and the Pakistan Wildcard

A decade of this partnership had thus ushered in a near-permanent amicability in the India-Bangladesh relationship, providing a strong foundation for New Delhi’s aspirations to ‘Act East’ by putting its ‘Neighbourhood First’. However, the mass revolution in Bangladesh in August 2024, followed by Hasina’s seeking refuge in India, and the establishment of the interim government in Dhaka, abruptly halted this partnership. Website URL: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/india-bangladesh-relations-and-the-pakistan-wildcard

Trump’s 10% Tariffs Are Barely Enough To Make Xi Blink

The Tariffs proposal has sparked intense debate across economic and political circles. Designed to protect American industries, these tariffs could reshape global supply chains, increase consumer prices, and provoke retaliatory measures from trading partners. Analysts argue that while some domestic manufacturers may benefit, the broader economy might face inflationary pressures and slowed growth. Website URL: https://www.orfonline.org/research/trump-s-10-tariffs-are-barely-enough-to-make-xi-blink

Europe Under Trump 2.0: In Search of an End to its Slow Agony

Today, Europe bears many similarities to the “world of yesterday” described by Zweig. However, this is less about the decline of Pax Americana—the period of post-war “long peace”, led by the West with the United States (US) at the helm. It is more about the “slow agony” of Europe—economically, demographically, industrially, and technologically, as eloquently expressed by Draghi in his 400-page report. Website URL: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/europe-under-trump-2-0-in-search-of-an-end-to-its-slow-agony

US Defence Strategy in the Indo-Pacific: Hegseth’s Push under Trump 2.0

As Trump’s second term unfolds, Hegseth’s Indo-Pacific tour reassures allies and strengthens US defence ties with Japan and the Philippines, especially amid China tensions. Washington’s ties with the Philippines and Japan are critical pillars of its Indo-Pacific strategy in two key ways—countering China’s assertiveness and ensuring regional stability. Website URL: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/us-defence-strategy-in-the-indo-pacific-hegseth-s-push-under-trump-2-0

Red Sea Crisis: A Global Challenge to Stability

The Red Sea crisis refers to the ongoing political and security tensions surrounding the Red Sea region, which includes conflicts in countries like Yemen and Sudan. With vital international shipping lanes passing through these waters, the crisis threatens regional stability and global trade.  Website URL: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/the-red-sea-crisis-and-political-equity-of-non-state-armed-actors

Health is wealth: The impending rise of longevity diplomacy

Health is wealth—and nations that strategically seize this cultural and technological moment to become global longevity leaders will offer something no nation in history has been able to provide at the diplomatic negotiating table—the gift of longevity.  Website URL: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/health-is-wealth-the-impending-rise-of-longevity-diplomacy

Small states, big impact: Driving climate action through norm entrepreneurship

 Climate action can and should be pursued at multiple levels. While the central governments in India and South Korea hold the authority to drive implementation and policy change, subnational governments have emerged as norm entrepreneurs, advocating for change and leading climate initiatives. Website URL: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/small-states-big-impact-driving-climate-action-through-norm-entrepreneurship